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May 10, 2005
Where are 50 million farmers?
With a reduction in over 50 million farmers between the 1990 and 2000 census, you have to ask – where did these farmers and their families go? The 2000 census shows that 55% of the population of India was farming, as opposed to 60% in 1990. While the population of India has gone up, even assuming no biases in fertility rates between rural and urban communities, 50 million people who were part of farming families have disappeared between 1990 and 2000. Where have they gone? For most part, these were small farmers who have not been able to sustain their livelihoods by farming and have had to migrate to cities. In effect, 50 million people who were able to sustain their lives through farming were forced to move into urban areas – specifically slums – in India. Given our current governments’ focus on slums and its sustained efforts to demolish them, we need to ask whether they are devolving policies to prevent people from migrating to urban slums. The answer – we quickly find – is no. In fact, most policies made vis-à-vis the agrarian sector are effecting farmers negatively, taking away from their ability to sustain their livelihoods through farming. Fiscal policies in the agricultural sector represent this bias. While industrial sector loans are available at 9%, and loans to urban citizens are available at 4-6%, loans to the agricultural sector are at interest rates of 14-18%. In such a situation, small farmers who take loans – given the uncertainty or rains, and risks in the agricultural sector – find it difficult to pay back their loans and often find that the bank seizes their properties. Another option is to take money from local money lenders, who today are usually retailers for seed, fertilizer, and pesticide in the area. Often the farmer has no option but to sign a contract where the money lender buys the produce crops at a fixed rate which is at least 25% below market price. In either case, the small and medium farmers are serious in debt. The government has begun to recognize this thanks to a suicide rate in India of over 15000 farmers per year. It has reacted to this situation not by easing interest rates or helping livelihood processes but by increasing the loans available to the farmer by over 3 times. Dr. Sunilam, MLA from Multai, Madhya Pradesh, points out that this will only make the farmer three times more in debt. The governments in the US and EU recognize the risks in farming and have provided major subsidies to their farmers. In total, the USA and EU give agricultural subsidies of over US$ 1 Billion every day. In 1999-2000, US spent $1.3 Billion on income support to rice farmers when its total rice production was worth US$ 1.2 Million. Even recognizing that 40-50% of these subsidies go to the richest 10% - basically the agro-corporations – the plight of the small farmer in the USA is better than India. While India can give subsidies up to 10% of total cost of food production – as per WTO agreements – its current rate is at a measly 3%. While the developed nations continue to support their agro-corporations with product specific subsidies, the government of India has very limited product specific subsidies – usually in the form of support prices – and in fact has been cutting back on the support prices for cotton, sugarcane, etc. Non-product specific subsidies – such as in electricity, and water – have also seen a roll back with pressure from the World Bank under the ‘full recovery’ program. Agricultural subsidies, where given are not to farmers but to companies producing fertilizers and pesticides. It is under these conditions that the Indian farmer is asked by its government to compete with agro-businesses. And while the Government of India fetes the winners of this competition, farmers continue to disappear – either committing suicide or moving to the cities to become destitute. How can the Indian farmer compete with American multi-nationals under these conditions, especially with the government making policies that help these multi-nationals? When 50 million people in your nation are forced to migrate in a 10 year period, and no government body has recognized this exodus, much less asked about the conditions of this exodus, it is time to question the focus of our governments and the direction of our policy. But who is there to question? Much of this research was based on the 2000 Census of India as well as discussions with Dr. Sunilam, member of the coordination committee of National Farmers Coalition of India Related Links Comments
excellent piece. this could and should become a rallying point to force our polity to introspect. Posted by: rohit on May 16, 2005 07:38 PMThe article makes some valid points but overall leaves several questions unanswered. The author should clearly answer the following points: (a) It is true that agricultural loans have a higher interest rate (14.8%). But isn't that because default rate in the countryside is higher and enforcement as well as debt collection mechanisms are weaker? Since it is more risky for a bank to give a loan to a farmer (than to an urban company), they charge higher interest rates. It is not because they are somehow "evil" as the article insinuates. It is foolish to expect banks to behave like charities and if forced, they will just move out of that business altogether. (b) If the author expects the Indian government to provide more farming subsidies, then will he also explain where the money for this will come from? India already has one of the highest taxation rates in the world and if they are increased further that will depress both domestic and foreign investment - this is just basic economics. That means the sectors which are performing well (such as IT, biotech, manufacturing, exports) will plummet with only marginal improvement in agriculture. (c) If the author's view is that the government should simply print money to pay for farming subsidies then a worse outcome is hard to imagine. Printing money or "deficit financing" simply results in an inflationary spiral, turning economies into basket-cases. The problem is not the somewhat higher interest rates charged by the bank, but the *exorbitant* rates charged by the private moneylender. If the bank charges 14.8%, the private lender charges close to 100%! It is the private lending market that the government must strictly regulate. The most important problem though is that the Indian farmer is still relying on something as unpredictable as the monsoon, while in the developed world proper irrigation systems are in place. The blame for this lies squarely on the politics and bureaucracy as it has failed to bring in investment into critical infrastructure. The same goes for roads, ports, railways, electric plants etc. It is good to focus on problems of our farmers who form the bulk of the population. But the economic analysis should be done without any kind of political agenda, whether it is leftist or rightist. Ed comments: Post a comment
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